My reflections on July 4th and 2100

My November 1985 Tulsa Tribune column, “A Look at the Year 2000,” has inspired me to venture a guess about the year 2100. I clearly predicted the Berlin Wall, the Mid-East war and the economic downturn right at the turn of the century. Some combination of genius, research, dumb luck, and/or listening to the inner spirit was amazingly accurate. This 4th of July has cause to reflect.

In 1787, members of twelve of the thirteen colonies gathered in Philadelphia charged by their respective state governments with amending the existing Articles of Confederation. Before they were finished, they crafted a new Constitution for the United States.

The new “federal government” was created by a compact between the states to serve the union of states and was delegated by the compact to have few and specific powers. James Madison clearly stated in Federalist No. 45: “The powers delegated by the proposed Constitution to the federal government are few and defined. Those which are to remain in the State Governments are numerous and indefinite. The former will be exercised principally on external objects, as war, peace, negotiation, and foreign commerce…The powers reserved to the several States will extend to all the objects which, in the ordinary course of affairs, concern the lives, liberties, and properties of the people, and the internal order, improvement, and prosperity of the State.”

There is a good chance that our dear United States of America will not exist as we know it today. With the United States in its 239th year and Canada at its 188th year, we are very low on the learning curve. China and Russia, for example, have existed for thousands of years. These societies and others have adapted to change. China has adapted to change and continues to be a world power.  The Soviet Union collapsed, and now Russia is emerging again as an economic and military world power.  I have worked as a consultant and visiting professor in China and Russia.  They are bright, shrewd, calculating, and have a mind-set to look at the future. Our North American mindset is short term with the thought to only what’s just around the corner – we have little apparent interest in the long-term future. Russian President Vladimir Putin said, “Russians do not have to worry about USA.. they will self-destruct.”

The federal debt since January 2009 has gone from 10.6 trillion to over 17 trillion dollars. More debt and no relief in sight means it’s only going to get worse. Our form of government will change to combat decades of moral decline, economic downturns and weak international position.  After a century of foiled foreign policy, it indicates the nation will drift toward “circling the wagons,” i.e., strengthening our country, having a strong defense, and letting the rest of the world take care of itself.

At one time, the Roman and British empires ruled the world.  Moral decline, far reaching imperialism and attempted economic expansion brought both to their knees.

With that in mind, here is my view of the situation in the year 2100. My spirit is telling me that dramatic events are on the horizon. We can see that Iraq is back in civil war. The Russians are asserting dominance in the Ukraine. We did not learn a lesson from Korea, Vietnam, Iraq or Afghanistan.  There is no clearly divine foreign policy and for sure we have no clue about the cultures of all the world – a basic understanding of culture would have shaped a better strategy to deal with world events.. We can expect more turmoil in the next few years. The Department of Homeland Security is successful to some extent but handcuffed. One thing you can count on is more lone wolf and ISIS attacks here in America. As events unfold, our inability to adjust will lead to our sense of isolation.

The Obama administration is asleep at the wheel and, in general, educated beyond their intelligence.  I clearly saw this in published articles (written in 1997, 2001, and 2008).

There is nothing complicated here if you wake up and think. The facts are there. The American people are like sheep.  In the last presidential election, 35 million people did not vote according to the Barna Foundation. The media and the politicians just herd us along. We stop and graze and water, and no one wants to just plain think about what is going on.

If our political system will not correct national debt, propped up economy, moral decline, then I have to agree with Allan Sloan, who wrote, “What this country needs to get its act together is a good five-alarm financial crisis.” The federal government is like a runaway freight train with no brakes taking over, among things, education, marriage and the list goes on and on… and with no breaks… all we can hope for is a “crash.” And I can see a crash coming through world events and a $17 trillion debt. This is out of control. A crash hurts but in long run, we need derailment so we can start over and get back on the right track. Again, you can count on it 50-60 years from today, there will be another severe economic downturn.  The cycle has repeated itself since the 12th century, and there is reason to believe it will come as scheduled and on time.

It is time to wake up American and take control of our own destiny.  History shows us what happens if we stay on the current path.  What we need now is an earth-shaking recession.  No one has courage to make the changes needed.  A repeat of 2008 would force us to get our house in order – right now the Dow is in a mystic never-never land of utopia. One big world event – and you know it’s coming – and we are back to reality.